Critical 70+High 55+Moderate 40+Low 25+MinimalNot scored
Violence Outbreak
Will this country drag me into conflict, or has violence already reached the street through crime, fragmentation, or actors the state cannot contain? GPI + Fragile States Index.
Economic Collapse
Will this country erode my wealth through debt, taxation, inflation, or currency collapse? IMF, credit ratings, World Bank, OECD.
Political Closure
Will this country trap me? Capital controls, judicial capture, exit restrictions, authoritarian drift. WJP + Freedom House.
Demographic Unsustainability
Will this country still be a functioning civilization when my grandchildren inherit? UN, World Bank, IMF.
Sub-indicators are Z-standardised and aggregated by geometric mean, so a catastrophic score in one dimension cannot hide behind good scores in the others. A floor rule applies on top: any single dimension above 95 holds the composite band at HIGH or above, whatever the other three read. Version 2.1 (July 2026) extends coverage from 118 to 173 countries; the additions are scored by anchored interpolation within the panel, on the same sources, and are provisional until the full recomputation in the 2026 edition. Greenland, Puerto Rico, New Caledonia, and the Falkland Islands appear with their sovereign's score. Dominica, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent, and Vanuatu are not scored: the index's sources do not cover them. Countries carrying a floor are marked ◆ in the table. Click any country for its dimension scores.
| Rank | Country | Violence | Economic | Political | Demographic | JRI | Level |
|---|
Reading the bands
CRITICAL (70+): multiple dimensions in failure or near-failure; the basic deal between the state and its citizens is breaking. HIGH (55+): two or more dimensions under significant stress, or a floor triggered; active diversification. MODERATE (40+): the deal holds and the risks are manageable with monitoring. LOW (25+): sound across most dimensions; suitable as a primary or secondary jurisdiction. MINIMAL (under 25): robust across all four; an anchor position for multi-generational planning.
The index scores countries, not families. How much of a country's risk actually reaches one family or company depends on what it owns and where; that second diagnosis runs through the transmission channels described in Principles No. 1.
Cite this publication
Journal for Jurisdiction Planning (2026). JP Risk Index, v2.1. jurisdictionplanning.org/jri. Last reviewed 20 July 2026.