Critical 70+High 55+Moderate 40+Low 25+MinimalNot scored
Security
Breaking point: Violence Outbreak. Conflict a family can be drawn into, or violence that has reached the street through crime, fragmentation, or actors the state cannot contain. GPI + Fragile States Index.
Prosperity
Breaking point: Economic Collapse. Wealth eroded through debt, taxation, inflation, or currency collapse. IMF, credit ratings, World Bank, OECD.
Justice
Breaking point: Lawlessness. Courts that do not bind the state, rules changed retroactively, property taken outside the law, capital and exit controls. WJP + Freedom House.
Posterity
Breaking point: Demographic Exhaustion. Fertility, ageing, dependency and the emigration of the working-age population, read for whether the country will still function when a family's grandchildren inherit. UN, World Bank, IMF.
Sub-indicators are Z-standardised and aggregated by geometric mean, so a catastrophic failure on one condition cannot hide behind good scores on the other three. Each score is published as 100 minus the risk reading the method produces, so 100 is the best possible score and the method is unchanged from the JP Risk Index it replaces. A floor rule applies on top: any single condition scoring below 5 holds the country's risk to families at high or above, whatever the other three read. Version 2.1 (July 2026) extends coverage from 118 to 173 countries; the additions are scored by anchored interpolation within the panel, on the same sources, and are provisional until the full recomputation in the 2026 edition. Greenland, Puerto Rico, New Caledonia, and the Falkland Islands appear with the score of the state that governs them. Dominica, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent, and Vanuatu are not scored: the index's sources do not cover them. Countries carrying a floor are marked ◆ in the table. Click any country for its dimension scores.
| Rank | Country | Security | Prosperity | Justice | Posterity | Score | Risk to families |
|---|
Reading the bands
Each country's score places it in one of five bands of risk to families. Critical (score 30 or below): several conditions at or near their breaking point. High (45 or below): two or more conditions under significant strain, or a floor triggered. Moderate (60 or below): the covenant holds, with conditions that need monitoring. Low (75 or below): sound on most conditions; suitable as one position among several. Minimal (above 75): sound on all four.
The index scores countries, not families. How much of a country's condition actually reaches one family or company depends on what it owns and where; that second reading runs through the transmission channels described in Principles No. 1. The manifesto sets the use of the reading: when a host fails a condition, the family does not remain in it (Law 4).
Cite this publication
Journal for Jurisdiction Planning (2026). JP Success Index, v2.1. jurisdictionplanning.org/jsi. Last reviewed 1 October 2026.
Renamed from the JP Risk Index on 1 October 2026 to align with the Manifesto v1.0. Scores are published as 100 minus the v2.1 risk readings; data and method are unchanged.